NI about the Russian bear and the American elephant: the enemies have the opportunity to become friends
The election to the post of the head of state of the USA in 2016 candidate from the Republican party will help to improve relations between Washington and the capital of Russia, writes the political scientist, leader Maria Butina V.
review analyst, " the Russian bear more common interests with the Republican elephant (unofficial symbol of the Republican party - ed.) than with the democratic donkey (unofficial symbol of the US Democratic party - ed)." Tough rhetoric during the election campaign is one thing, but the present leadership of the country - more literally, She notes.
Butina writes that even 1st U.S. Republican President Abraham Lincoln maintained a lively correspondence with his Russian counterpart, Emperor Alexander the Second. They, analyst, faced with similar challenges: Alexander abolished serfdom in 1861, Lincoln refused from slavery in 1863.
But, She stresses, it is possible to appeal to modern examples.
"Only the head of Nixon who was a Republican, could go for a breakthrough in US relations with China. Similarly, Only a Republican can improve relations with Moscow. But how?" the analyst wondered.
First, consider Butina, here have a role to play in the overall economic desires. If Russia's trade in 2014 compared with 2012 decreased by more than 20% with the UK and Portugal - more than 40%, then trading in the U.S. and Russia over the same period increased by 5, 6%.
Secondly, She notes that both countries have a common desire in the world oil market." as long as the U.S. retains a ban on its oil exports, they need international sources of this raw material. In Russia They are: giant proved reserves in the Arctic and explored a huge accumulation of oil shale in the mainland, " writes the analyst.
She stressed that cooperation on oil production in the Arctic, though not soften tension over the Crimea and Ukraine, But will help to improve relations between Washington and the capital of Russia and to make progress in other areas of diplomacy.
in addition, Maria Butina emphasizes that Russian citizens consider current data on which the main base of support consists of Republicans conservative elements of society, businessmen and those who advocate an aggressive approach in the battle with Islamic crime.
These values are shared by United Russia, the current ruling party in Russia, says the expert, stressing that Russia since 1989 had to cooperating with presidents from different political parties of the USA, But in the moment, " maybe more will have to achieve specifically in interactions with traditional Russian enemy."
Butina agitates not to succumb to the common vision about the fact that the conflict between 2 great Nations is inevitable.
"World maps and you can redraw, Global economies are weakening, and revived, But the chaos is not obliged to prevail," the analyst said.
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