Financial instability has led to increased expectations of protests from citizens of Russia
The unstable economic situation in Russia in the early winter resulted in growth among Russian citizens ' expectations of possible protests recorded " Levada-center ". But some increase dissent does not correlate with the level of trust in the authorities, respondents emphasize the Last news professionals.
according to the results of social research " Levada-Center " nearly one-fifth of citizens of Russia (24%) believe That at the present time in their region is quite possible numerous performances residents against falling living standards, protection of their rights. The number of counting so otpisanih during the year has decreased: in February of 2014, it was 28%, in August-October - 17%. Herewith, the citizens of the majority are not ready to participate in such performances, in February, 14% of respondents said That most likely would participate in mass protests in the last month of summer - 8%, in October - 12%, by the end of the year ready to protest was 14%.
As for political protests in February this year, 23% believed That such presentations are possible in their city, in the last month of summer And October - 12% in the early winter of 16%. When this is ready to act on political protests of the citizens of Russia even less in February -10% in the last month of summer - 7%, in October - 8%, in the beginning of winter - 9%. A survey conducted 19 - 22 December 2014 polled 1,600 people in 46 regions of Russia. The statistical error of the research work does not exceed 3, 4%.
head of the Center for strategic communications Dmitry Abzalov said That the Increase in protest activity is not great And in General the overall picture confirms the trend of the support institutions. Last week - when the Survey was conducted was still quite a vigorous reaction rate And the price component, at present, this effect is already slightly flattened, He added.
" The trend in the total reflects the General position on the rating of power - its growth was from the current year, an important factor was the Crimea, Ukraine, peaks occurred in the last month of summer, then autumn, And some reduction point 1-2% went early in the winter, besides due to it, most importantly, economic, rather than political factors. In General This reflects the decline of protest activity as such, " He said. Abzalov reminded That for example the protest political activity traditionally higher in large cities, But the major campaigns were held, this year, major campaigns in practice was not, And after the election of the mayor the main annoying political factors left.
" for this reason, the consolidation of society on the background of the Crimean events seriously increased. This reflects the overall decline in protest activity as a political protest, " He added. Social protest associated with lower quality of life, until not defined, said the expert, But Here are multidirectional processes.
" often, on the background of the difficult economic situation, 2008-2009, on the one hand, there is an increase in protest activity associated with socio-economic components, back - seriously grow paternalistically mood in society. Here are two countervailing trend, I think, they will neutralize each other ", - said Abzalov. According to him, the expression of social protest will be depending on the actual situation in the economy And such an important factor, as the employment of residents.
The General Director of the Center for political information Alexei Mukhin I am sure That some increase of dissent does not correlate with the level of trust in the authorities, such as the head of the Russian Federation. According to the information social studies " Levada " in the beginning of winter, made public yesterday, the President in General approve of 85% of the population, 14% do not approve of And even 1% of respondents were undecided.
" This reaction is, in practice, the conditional reflex on those actions that were performed by different groups of influence in the financial system of Russia. I am sure That after some time, then as the situation stabilizes in the financial market, these indicators will be included in the rule, " - said the expert. He said That in society there is always a percentage of dissatisfied, some of which are even ready to take to the streets, " But only part of this part is ready for radical action type organizations Maidan, it is negligible in the present society."
For the mass exit of people on the streets requires certain social causes.
" The necessary political, social, and most importantly, the Need for economic reasons - all together - for the organization of such events. If any component is missing, usually to bring people to the street very difficult, " caught the attention of the analyst. The exception to this rule - the protests after the elections to the state Duma in early winter of 2011, when any of these reasons. Mukhina, was not." And There is really major role in organizing mass protests played accumulated social discontent with the actions of the authorities on various occasions. For this reason, such a motley was a contingent of protesters", He added. However, for several months this protest came to - " people on the street to keep some slogans impossible, finished Mukhin.
" Yes, situational, you can make it as a frog in a school experiment - society poke the needle, it will start to twitch certain muscles, But It is only a certain reflex physiological, which can hardly be called revolutionary movement, this requires a more serious reason, " He added.
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