Expert: Coalition in the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine is in fact does not exist
" The vote of the Verkhovna Rada in recent weeks demonstrate that the parliamentary coalition " Fatherland ", " Attack " and " Freedom " in fact no longer exists ", - about it in the notes to the journalist of the news Agency said today, on may 30, a political consultant Sergey Slobodchuk.
on responses of experts, in the near future will begin numerous migration between parliamentary factions, for example, a new vast majority, most likely, will be formed the people's elected representatives who want to join the group of the influence of the newly elected President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko. However, significant competition he will be the team of Yulia Tymoshenko and other political centres of power.
" in the near future we will see in the Verkhovna Rada in action political " Archimedes law ". Its essence can be formulated as follows: less than men in the " support group " of the winner of the presidential election, the large perturbations expect Deputy groups and factions of the Verkhovna Rada. If you go through the practical calculation, for a stable majority, must at least 232-235 mandates (in order to reach the minimum required result in 226 votes, given that some of parliamentarians can, for example, to get sick or to fly to a foreign business trip) ", - explained the expert." on the reformatting of the Verkhovna Rada today, the following factors influence. First, the figure of the winner of the presidential election. But in fact elected head Poroshenko and de facto Prime Minister Yatsenyuk today act as " shoemaker without shoes ", because neither the one nor the other is unable to solve through the hall of the Parliament. Although Poroshenko has a chance to influence the development of the majority at the expense of the " Batkivschina ", " BLOW ", and interconnection of faction and groups that broke away from the party of regions faction. But for this new coalition members should be calculated positions and state orders, and the possibility of the President's currently there. The following is the probability of early elections to the Verkhovna Rada. The parliamentary-presidential model implies a return to the party list system. For this reason, the MPs will endeavour, to the 1st of all, in the " UDAR " and personal group Petro Poroshenko, hoping to go to the Verkhovna Rada because of its high rating. The second place by popularity is occupied by the faction of " Fatherland " - Yulia Tymoshenko and Oleksandr Turchynov will seek to compensate for the care of their deputies to Poroshenko by attracting new parliamentarians from among the regions and non-faction. On the 3rd and fourth place, in case the elections - a group of MPs, which can be formed around the figures of Oleg Lyashko and Anatoly Gritsenko, respectively, which showed a good result at the presidential elections. It is also possible overflow of the deputies from the party of regions faction and a group of faction in the direction of Sergey Tigipko. In addition, it is necessary to take into account that the announcement of early parliamentary elections will intensify the contradictions between the group Poroshenko, factions " BLOW " and " Fatherland ". For this reason, there is a risk that since the announcement of the dissolution of the Parliament and until the election of a new Parliament sustainable most will not ", - said the Slobodchuk.
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