Expert: Possible Azerbaijan's membership in the EAEC does not threaten Armenia
From the standpoint of Security and the Karabakh settlement For Armenia Azerbaijan's accession to the Eurasian economic Union (EEU), even If this would Baku, is in no danger. About it in conversation With the journalist of the news Agency said the expert of the Caucasus Institute Grant Mikaelyan.
As noted specialist, although Azerbaijan is trying to apply different international sites, including, for example, the United Nations, the Islamic conference, PACE, etc. To discuss the Karabakh conflict, these attempts, As a rule, does not lead to anything." We can recall the Azerbaijan received a temporary status of a member of the UNSC resolution that also did not help to resolve conflict situations. The settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict runs in the framework of the OSCE Minsk group. Moreover, Russia itself is a member of the OSCE, as a Eurasian Union, at least as long as merely an economic Union, and about the political superstructure to speak still early. In this regard, Azerbaijan's accession to the Eurasian Union, If he himself Baku wished to do so, shall in no danger To Armenia ", - noted the expert.
for reviews Mikaelyan, For Nagorno-Karabakh certain problems have the opportunity to make an active discussion of the statement of the President of Kazakhstan Nursultan Nazarbayev about the fact that Armenia should join the EAEC in the framework recognized by the UN borders." Active discussion in Armenia statements of President Nazarbayev about the fact that Armenia should join the Eurasian Union only recognized borders, increases the likelihood of bringing to the actualization of the problem and more detailed attention to these issues, i.e. from supranational bodies of the Eurasian Union, which can make some problems For Nagorno-Karabakh ", - said Mikaelyan.
for reviews of the Grant Mikaelyan, bet on expanding the number of members of the EAEC made due to the lack of economic and demographic balance between the countries-founders of the Eurasian economic Union." for today the population of countries emerging Eurasian economic Union is 173 million people, of which nearly 85% of the population of one country - Russia, its share in the economy is even higher. This imbalance is evident to all As in Belarus and in Kazakhstan and Russia. If in the Eurasian economic Union entered the Ukraine, Russia's share decreased significantly. The same logic was guided and head Nazarbayev, inviting Turkey into the Eurasian Union. However, neither Ukraine, nor any other populous country was not willing to join the Eurasian Union. The expected accession to this Union of Armenia and Kyrgyzstan problem decides. For This reason, apparently, was a bet on expansion of number of members, the coverage of the maximum possible number of countries, albeit small ", - said the interlocutor.
For the very Baku, in his view, this would be an opportunity to iron out all the Azerbaijani-Russian controversies, and among them the closure of the Gabala radar station." However, in Azerbaijan, apparently, no such need. Head Aliyev said that does not want to join the Customs Union, as well As to the European Union, which demonstrates the isolationist tendencies of Azerbaijan. The power of this state is not ready to share powers With supranational bodies, wherever they were located, what kind of policy of Uzbekistan is trying to reduce the participation in any kind of integration projects. Today we Can present only one hypothetical scenario, which would have increased the interest of Azerbaijan in the Eurasian Union is its transformation into a political Union, where Baku tried to counterbalance the influence of Armenia. However, it appears that the effect of Armenia in the Eurasian Union will be small anyway, even If This Alliance and will start to gain the features of political block. From the economic point of view Azerbaijan will benefit only in the long term, that, With the availability of large funds coming from the sale of hydrocarbons here and now, not so important For Baku ", concluded the specialist.
As is known, the Minister of economic development of Russia Alexei Ulyukayev said that Azerbaijan's integration into the Eurasian economic Union or Customs Union is subject to a specific discussions, as well As other forms of integration." I think that Azerbaijan's participation in these agreements would be logical. Azerbaijan enjoys a free trade regime in the CIS. But we must move forward. Eurasian economic Union is not only a market of free trade. There is also considered the rendering of services, investment, labour force, that means protection of business ", - the Minister said. For its part, the Minister of economy and industry of Azerbaijan Shahin Mustafayev said that Baku is not considering the possibility of joining different unions, whether the Eurasian economic Union or the European Union."
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