Support from Yavlinsky little that will give Slosberga on the election of the head of Pskov: opinion
The support of the leader of the party " Yabloko " Grigory Yavlinsky little that can give " the Deputy of Pskov regional Assembly Lev Shlosberg who wants to take part in the gubernatorial elections, told news Agency the head of the Center of analysis of international policies of the Institute of globalization Mikhail Neizhmakov.
recall that yesterday, June 3, Yavlinsky arrived in Pskov And supported the candidacy to the post of the head of the region Shlosbergs, having promised him Not only money, But also intellectual assistance. The elections will be held on September 14, acting head of the region is Andrey Turchak - in case of his victory It would be his second term as leader.
Neizhmakov emphasizes that the Pskov regional branch " Apple " is one of the strongest in Russia. For this reason, interest Yavlinsky to the separation of the party And to elections is Not surprising.
" Another thing that Support from Yavlinsky little that can give Lev Shlosberg, - says the expert.- Even in the period of high Federal popularity of the founder of " Apple "in the 2000 presidential election, He received the Pskov region only 2, 7% of the vote. Current success of this party in the Pskov region is the merit of Lev Shlosberg And his associates in the regional office, and Not very popular here Grigory Yavlinsky.
To assess the chances of a Lion Shlosbergs on gubernatorial elections, it is worth Recalling that according to the results of the parliamentary election campaign in 2011 Yabloko received by the Pskov region 5, 1% of the vote, says Neizhmakov. In September 2013 nominated by this party Love Gerasimov took the second place on elections of the head of Strugo-Krasnensky district 14, 38% of the vote, and Andrew vihman received 36, 73% at the election of the head of the MSU center of the district And only approximately 6% behind the head of the race, " United Russia " Alexander Vasenkov." As we see, the Support of Yabloko in the area is clearly wider than its Traditional electoral kernel, mainly the urban intelligentsia Mature And older, the opposition of the workers of budgetary sphere, - stressed the expert.- Points Lev Shlosberg adds And policy attention to issues of broad layers of voters. He, for example, participated in the creation of a regional law on the regional operator on capital repair ".
However, there are arguments Against Shlosbergs." Against working his criticism of the Kremlin's actions in Ukraine And the Crimea, " says Neizhmakov.- Traditional " Apple ", voter, This is, without doubt, Not alienate, But to gain new supporters can interfere ".
The results, which has the chances to get Leo schlo?berg on gubernatorial elections, according to the expert, " is unlikely to be much higher support of Yabloko in the parliamentary elections in the Pskov region ". However, the plot is in another." in 2011, " United Russia ", the list of which of the Pskov region was headed by the current acting head of Andrei Turchak, received by region 36, 65% of the votes. This does Not, This means that the results of the elections-2011 exactly again in 2014. On the contrary, often significant part of the voters who chose the opposition in the parliamentary elections for the Governor's support of the incumbent head of the region. And yet, the more opposition candidates participating in the elections. The more they mobilize opposition electorate ", comments Mikhail Neizhmakov.
" In the presence of a Lion Shlosbergs among the candidates, there are chances of holding the second round of elections, though rather vague, " - said the expert. In this case, most likely, Together with Andrei Turchak to go to the second round may leader of the Pskov Communists Alexander Rogov." However, without the participation in the race Lev Shlosberg combination with a second round becomes completely unrealistic, - said the head of Department.- That is, " factor Shlosbergs " This is largely a factor of the second round ".
the expert also emphasized that Lev Shlosberg impossible to cross " municipal filter " only by local deputies from Yabloko And the closest supporters of the party. In the Russian capital And Moscow suburbs at the elections of the heads of regions in 2013 acting assisted the opposition in overcoming the filter, But looking at ways of Pskov authorities to go is Not profitable." Not only because of the strained relations between the Governor And the leader of the Pskov Yabloko, says Neizhmakov.- But due to the presence of " factor of the second round ". That is the very participation of Lev Shlosberg in the Governor's race remains under question."
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