Zudin: elections in the U.S. Congress affect mostly on domestic policy
The results of the midterm elections in the Congress of the United States will be of great importance, most importantly, for the internal policy of the state And much less impact on Foreign policy, as well as among them Russian-American relations, says political scientist, member of the expert Council of the Institute of socio-economic And political studies (ISAPI) Alexei Zudin.
Tuesday was elected 435 deputies of the chamber of authorized Congress, 36 senators, 36 governors and the legislative Assembly 46 States. Republicans for the first time in 8 years has been the oversight of both houses of Congress.
According to Zudina, there are a number of constraints that will prevent the tightening of foreign policy in case of victory of the Republicans: most importantly, the fact That foreign policy is, most importantly, the prerogative of the American President And developed a fairly narrow range of people - only when changes in that circle, you can wait for some serious changes.
Zudin noticed That these mid-term elections is a big political event for the United States, as if the Republicans will be able to set the party oversight of the Senate, there will be significant changes in the balance of political forces in the country And for the remaining two years, the head of Obama would be the fact alone ". Both chambers will be under the control of the Republican party, which is configured in relation to him, as it happens emphasize, not only the opposition, and hostility, explained the expert. However, evaluating these elections, it should be remembered, because It is an important event, most importantly, for the internal policy of the United States, added Zudin.
" With regard to foreign policy, then change will happen much less And, most importantly, in relations between the United States And Russia. The current course is a course for confrontation - is active bipartisan support. Here, Republicans And Democrats compete In hostility to our country. Because of this, some significant changes if the Republicans will be able to install the supervision of the Senate, to not wait, " says the specialist, ISAPI.
Perhaps, the political rhetoric in the case of the victory of the Republican party will become less stringent, he said. According to expert reviews, the Republicans have the opportunity to speak with some initiatives not less active involvement in the Ukrainian events associated with the sale of Ukraine arms or lifting of the ban on the export of oil, oil sales to the European Union That will help lower prices to harm the Russian budget.
" But such proposals, if they occur, are likely to be purely demonstrative. Because of the high probability that they will encounter on the veto of President Obama, and cross It to veto the Republicans, on the results of the examination will not, " said Zudin. No less, such tightening of conduct the United States will harm the American economy, It may cause harm to Also " shale revolution " in the United States, said the expert.
" in addition, It will create economic problems for the United States, It is inconsistent with the interests of American business, " he added.
Additional barriers on the way of strengthening the foreign policy of the United States may become the country's involvement in the conflict in the middle East, said the expert." The US is now actively involved in the conflict in the middle East - the Syrian Arab Republic And Iraq - them a new level of involvement in Ukraine plus will not go, " he explained. Also saved And objective, structural limits on the possible influence on Foreign policy.
" Foreign policy of the United States is called " private works ". This sector of public policy, which takes a very narrow group of people. First of all, foreign policy is the prerogative of the President of the United States. Then the head will retain the ability to act at least in the form of veto, which it will be applied to the decisions of the lower And upper plates, if these decisions are contrary to the foreign policy that the head holds, " said Zudin.
according to his statement, the foreign policy of the United States in their particular part of the developed quite a narrow circle of people And any major changes can be expected only if there will be changes in this narrow circle.
the specialist said That there is a little intrigue: will come true if first expressed version That possible answer Obama on the loss of the party's observations on the Senate will be staffing decisions, as well as among them move the current head of the Pentagon And the current head of the state Department of the United States.
" This version, And not literally clear how they sound. Anyway, given the fact That relations between Russia And the United States deteriorated, change of Secretary of state, if it does occur, may cause additional harm to the relations between the 2 countries. We know That still, in spite of everything, the head of the Ministry of foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation (Sergei) Lavrov And Secretary of state of the United States (John) Kerry retain some working contacts, most importantly in the current situation. Hopefully, because This assumption on the possible change of Secretary of state, are not justified, " said Zudin.
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