The ruble fluctuates against the background of uncertainty in gas talks
Dmitry Mayorov. Ruble Wednesday night was falling on the background of the continuing uncertainty in gas negotiations with Russia and Ukraine, but mainly at the beginning of the long holidays in Russia.
The dollar exchange rate calculations " tomorrow " to 18. 49 GMT were up 4 cents to 34, 40 roubles, the Euro Rate by 5 kopecks to 46, 56 ruble, follows from the data of the capital market. The cost of the currency basket (0, 55 dollars and 0.45 euros) grew by 4 kopecks in comparison With the level of the last close - to 39, 87 ruble.
The Euro on the Forex to 19. 50 Moscow time was equal to 1, 3532 dollar against 1, 3544 dollar at the previous closing.
The ruble did not show a single dynamics during the auction environment. With the dawn Rate increased, reflecting a General trend to strengthening of the currencies of emerging markets.
Rising in price of oil, the Cost of which has stabilized around the key level of $ 110 per barrel for Brent, also to support the Ruble.
However in the middle of the day, with the growth of tension on gas talks between Russia and Ukraine, the Ruble began to take positions, and for good reason. Despite major concessions to Russia, dialogs in fact ended in nothing. Ukraine was not ready to proposals of the Russian Federation on a discount of $ 100 to $ 385 per thousand cubic meters. Kiev insists on price 268 5 dollar and confirmed his intention to take a dispute in the Stockholm arbitration court.
in addition, the approach of the long holidays amid conflict in the South-East of Ukraine is forcing players in the domestic foreign exchange market to emerge in the main reserve currency, selling Ruble, which pushes him down at the end of the day.
However, on the last working day of the week the most avid players will have the opportunity to take account of world events in the dynamics of the ruble. Moscow exchange will trade currency, Despite official holiday in the country.
The gas dispute between Russia and Ukraine remains an important factor for the dynamics of the ruble, says Evgeny Koshelev of ROSBANK.
" Near level of resistance to the growth of the ruble gives rise to doubts about the prospects of its strengthening in the case of approval of unacceptably low rates. Maybe the market estimates range 350-380 dollars per thousand cubic meters in the form of a baseline scenario, However delayed negotiations are fewer chances for a similar outcome, " he says.
" Today Gazprom, not having received funds from Ukraine, suffered a key date on prepayment on 16 June, and no one of the parties does not guarantee that the closeness of the agreement. In this regard, the interval fluctuations of the ruble may narrow to 39, 75-39, 90 roubles per basket at the beginning of the long holidays, " said Koshelev.
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