Experts: the West wants to withdraw punishment with Iran, but does not know how
The political Events of recent months (the signing of the Treaty establishing the Eurasian economic Union, the Events in Ukraine, the deteriorating situation in Iraq) softened the attitude of the West towards Iran's nuclear program. However, as long as the US and the EU don't know how to bring Iran mode of punishment. In addition, the signing of the final agreement does not solve the main problem - the possibility of Iran developing nuclear weapons. About It told the participants of the press conference on " Iran's Nuclear program: will the outcome?" on June 23, informs news Agency journalist.
the dialogue on the Iranian nuclear program is close to completion, with great probability, the final Treaty to guarantee the peaceful nature of the program, will be signed by July 20, despite the lack of agreement on key issues such as the scope and quality of the program, coordination of its missile program, and the lack of " peace and confidence " to the Islamic Republic from the IAEA, said Director General of the Institute for the study of modern Iran Rajab Safarov.
The secret of success of the negotiations, in the opinion of the expert, lies in the number of political events that occurred between the fourth and fifth round of talks. First, It signed on may 29 in Astana by presidents of Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan of the Treaty establishing the Eurasian economic Union. The formation of a new centre of power, and the prospect of joining Iran has frightened the United States, said Safarov." To stop this process, the West has come up a number of measures to improve relations with the Islamic Republic, " he said.
Secondly, the negotiating position of the Europeans and us citizens affected by the Crisis of political power in Ukraine and joining of Crimea to Russia, to which Iran is treated not as the EU and the US." The events in Ukraine proved one simple thing, " said Safarov, " that the Russian Federation may have an influence on the Political processes in the post-Soviet space in the direction that suits its interests, and here neither NATO nor the EU to prevent do not have the opportunity."
The third factor that influenced the position of Western countries is to worsening the situation in Iraq, where militants of terrorist grouping " Islamic state of Iraq and the Levant " has captured a significant portion of the country's territory. In this situation, the West is ready to make concessions to Iran, to enlist his support in the Iraqi events. The US does not have the ability to influence the terrorists, but is softening its stance toward Iran, which resolves this issue by the troops in the areas adjacent to the Shiite shrines, destruction which threatened by militants Sunni, said the head of Islamic Department of Russia Heidar Jemal. The West has expressed interest in that, in the event of a confrontation with the Arab world Iran was adequately equipped, because the U.S. tend to remove limits on the military industry of Iran.
in the end positions of the parties closer to the extent that Iran, According to Safarov, conducts dialogues " on the verge of a foul ", going on all possible concessions and balancing on the verge of danger to state security. However, the signing of the final agreement on the nuclear program does not automatically cancel the sanctions in force against Iran, said a senior scientific worker of the Institute of Oriental studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences Professor Vladimir Sazhin. The thing is that Tehran demands to abolish all penalties, to the same as associated and not associated with the nuclear program and the USA stand up for gradual abolition of restrictions for a long time.
in addition, said the head of the Caucasus Department of the CIS countries Institute Vladimir Evseev, the removal of all sanctions deprive leverage on Iran. In this situation, the expert said that the framework agreement has the opportunity to be signed, but each participant will retain his." To mitigate the crisis now ready both sides, but that problem, which was simply pushed over time, and it must be solved is the new US President, said Yevseyev.- This is an imitation of the negotiation process, which is caused by lack of time from Barack Hussein Obama. Then, because of what started it all, nothing was resolved ".
remember, Iran's Nuclear program were reactivated by the government of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in 2005, which led to the entry of a number of sentences from the US against Iran's credit institutions, organizations and individuals, however, associated with nuclear and military industry of Iran. In response, the Islamic Republic had halted oil supplies to the USA and the European Union.
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