The scientist: the East of Ukraine will not be adequately shown in Rada
The results of the parliamentary elections in Ukraine will not reflect the political preferences of the Residents, most importantly due to the difficult situation in the East of the country, said Last news expert on post-Soviet countries from the Department of political science National University of distance education (UNED) (Spain) Ruben Ruiz Kai.
the head of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko August 27, signed a decree on early stopping powers of the Verkhovna Rada of the 7th convocation And purpose on October 26 special election. For space in the future Parliament oppose 29 political parties And almost 3, 5 thousand candidates who will be elected in single-mandate constituencies. Only the Parliament will be elected 438 deputies.
information received from recent surveys, in the Parliament are " Block Petro Poroshenko, " Radical Party of Oleh Liashko, " Batkivshchyna ", " citizenship ", " popular front " And " Strong Ukraine ".
according to expert reviews, the current election campaign will be affected as fixed factors, And a number of features associated with the complex moment in the country's history.
" The political situation in Ukraine has constant factors, characteristic For the state since independence, in which the presence of the oligarchs who control the state institutions And elections. The gap between population And large entrepreneurs that have a major impact on policy, has always influenced the electoral preferences, " says Kai.
for reviews of the analyst, there are also factors, expressed as time in this election campaign." It is necessary to mention that the pressure exerted on certain electoral preferences, political forces, for example, about the pressure on the Communist party in the Central government And in the West. And This is, without doubt, affect the outcome of the Communist party. In the media, most of which are in the hands of the oligarchs, In recent months launched a campaign in favor of some political forces And against the other, " said He.
Another fact affecting the current parliamentary elections, the political scientist considers a special operation Kyiv security forces directed against dissatisfied with the February coup d'etat of the population of Donbass." military operations In recent months, Ukraine has led to the fact that a significant portion of the population or will not be able to vote, or will face certain difficulties in voting. Those parties that would in other conditions to obtain a significant number of votes in now will not be able to retrieve the relevant representation in the Parliament ", - said the head of the Department.
Surveys show that political parties, which have traditionally been strong in the East of Ukraine, to face obstacles in these elections." So, not So long ago formed the Party Tigipko (the Party " Strong Ukraine " Sergey Tigipko as amended) overcome the 5% barrier, and the Communists show the result from 3% to 4 to 7%. In principle, the Communists will not be able to go to the Parliament, " says Kai.
" in Odessa or in Kharkiv always voted as traditionally vote in the East. Currently there is not a strong enough party that could represent them at the political level. I saw the poll, According to which 72% of residents in these 2 areas are not know for whom to vote. This then will lead to big problems in the representation of certain regions in the Parliament, " said the expert.
The party of regions, which won parliamentary elections 2012, from participation in the election would not." The party exhausted, Those businessmen who it was And was supporting her, was gone. The party has completely lost the power she had as a President's party, when she was able to enlist the support of entrepreneurs in different regions. I think that in Parliament the Party of regions couldn't go anyway Because Donbass in fact not vote, " says the specialist.
The Kai believes that the Block Poroshenko in these elections will win that, in the opinion of the analyst, it is logical in the context of the events of recent months, for example, in connection with the internal contradictions among nationalist organizations And those parties that previously was called " orange forces ".
" Poroshenko is the most neutral option on comparison with (Yulia Tymoshenko, (Yuri) Lutsenko or (Alexander) Turchynov. This option is considered as an opportunity to stabilize the country. Because there are forces that have expressed interest in continuing the war, " says the specialist.
He also emphasized on the fall of the party " Freedom " And " Right sector compared with the party Lyashko." For me the most interesting thing in this election Is to observe the Radical party of Oleh Liashko. It turned out to be ahead of other leaders who claimed a similar way - aggressive, militaristic, " says the analyst.
" Freedom " began to lose popularity in the days of " Euromayday "because its leaders together with (Arseniy) Yatseniuk And (Vitaly) Klitschko began to negotiate with (Viktor) Yanukovych. The Maidan was going in one direction Party to another. Lyashko acts differently: He declares that there is a war, and the authorities are unable to cope with her that the police she did not obey. He tried on his own shoulders the way a charismatic, And he did It ", concluded the expert.
|
