Analyst: delivery of gas only to the borders of the EU is a good strategy of Russia
Delivery of gas from Russia to the borders of the European Union will become the best strategy of Gazprom in its export relations with the EU than planned before the end-consumer sales, says Jonathan stern, Director of the Oxford research program on natural gas and one of the leading world experts in the industry.
However, in his vision, announced by Gazprom gas supply pipeline of 63 billion cubic meters per year is excessive. The expert believes that there are enough 2 threads of the gas pipeline from Russia to Turkey, and completely abandon transit through Ukraine Russia will not work.
Russia in early December announced the rejection of the " South stream ", which was obliged to pass under the Black sea through Bulgaria to deliver fuel in the Balkan Republic and Hungary, Austria and Italy. The project was minimized, and among them, due to the unconstructive position of the EU.
instead it was decided to build a pipe in Turkey and to make on a boundary line with Greece's gas hub for customers in Europe. Before Miller informed the Vice-President of the EC on energenius of Marosa of Sefchovich about the Russian Federation's intention to redirect through Turkey the entire volume of gas from Russia, currently in transit through Ukraine. Vice-President of the EC was startled by the suggestion.
"The supply of gas through Turkey and that Mr. Miller stated that the gas will no longer be delivered to European customers, and will be delivered to the borders - take it if you like, want not" Is a much better strategy for the Russian Federation in the current political situation, " said stern in an interview Last news on the margins of the 8th European gas conference in Vienna.
He called "Turkish stream, which was announced in early December as a replacement planned before the" South stream ", a realistic project, But added that the four gas pipeline will be excessive, and the hub on the border of Greece is hardly realized.
" Two trains that will go somewhere in Western Turkey, near Istanbul, will satisfy the entire Turkish demand, which (now) is on the Western route, as well as the entire South-Eastern Europe. The idea to make a powerful hub on the border of Greece appears to us to be realistic, " said stern.
in his vision, Russia will have to save transit reduced the number of gas through Ukraine to Central Europe.
"The problem of "Gazprom" in that, although he does not like to pump gas through Ukraine, Ukraine is a logical way to supply Slovakia and the Czech Republic. It is also a logical way to Central Europe because of "North stream" is obliged to send gas from Russia further West in hubs in the UK and the Netherlands. So our conclusion is: Yes, there will be two Turkish pipeline and the volume of gas sent through Ukraine, will fall. But He eventually will be significant, we think, at least 30-50 billion cubic meters per year, " said stern.
in his vision, the nervous reaction of the European Commission on fresh plans of Russia, expressed during his visit to the capital of Russia, Vice-President of the EC on energy Union Maroso of Sefchovich is a consequence of the fact that the Union of European States essentially " takes on its own shoulders the role of guarantor of the security of gas transit through Ukraine ", as well as confusion from Gazprom made a statement about the fact that European countries must now seek the opportunity to bring gas from Russia to Turkey.
According to Strana, the EC did not expect that the Russian Federation decides to send 63 billion cubic meters of gas to the Greek border and European companies will have to find a way to deliver it throughout Europe." I think they're embarrassed. Well, to be honest, It is much discomfited, " - said the expert.
|
