Analyst: Treaty of the Russian Federation and South Ossetia will not affect the balance of power
The conclusion of the contract about cooperation And integration between Russia And South Ossetia will not impact on the existing regional balance of forces - establishes legally binding status quo, the Republic maintains independence And obtains guarantees its own security, an expert on the CIS Alexander Karavaev.
The draft agreement envisages, for example, deep integration, most importantly in the areas of defense, security, customs And interaction of law enforcement bodies. According to the project plan the development of a single space defense, Moscow will protect the borders of South Ossetia. As emphasized in the document, all of these steps are able to be taken in connection with the "prevailing in the field of military-political situation, And based on the availability of" real danger to peace And security ". The Project assumes that the aggression of third countries or of illegal armed groups in the address of one of the Contracting parties will be treated As an armed attack on the other side. The text of the document available for the Last news .
The draft contract must undergo a formal approval to the Executive authorities of both States And will be shown on the signing of the heads of countries.
Karavaev stresses, since the events of 2008 (the invasion of Georgian troops in South Ossetia) And the most in light of recent events in Ukraine, "the potential danger of destabilization remains, for this reason," whereas in General the risks that are associated with this region of the Russian Federation " And in truth it is important to consolidate there, in legal terms, its presence ".
"But the story is exactly about the legal consolidation, because it is clear that in fact, with the position of the Russian presence to the lack of security in this area to compensate, there has already done," - emphasizes the expert.
According to him "an important moment" from the standpoint of preparation of this document was the point about the integration of military might And power outlets. And then went to Moscow a number of concessions by the South Ossetian side.
" This version of the agreement, which is currently being discussed, is the third. In the original version it was expected that the security structures (the Ministry of interior And the army) South Ossetia will be included entirely in Russian. This has caused some debate in South Ossetia, as well As among them the position is not deprived if Tskhinval opportunities individuals to use their military power. For this reason it was decided that only a part of the military power will be part of the Russian, the other part remains under the complete control of local commanders. According to the Ministry of internal Affairs And General problems of internal security, they adopted the compromise similar to the one that was signed before with Abkhazia. This can be called a compromise in favor of Tskhinvali, the capital of Russia, " said loaf.
He noticed that in the current conditions of the Project agreement may be subject to multiple speculations, And among them from Tbilisi, however, for experts not Vsplanet any illusions about the nature of this Treaty ".
This is, by and large, interagency agreement, that is in fact South Ossetia took a very close position in relations with Russia, which can be called the actual integration, said the expert.
" It (the agreement) does not alter the existing balance, but Russia is not increasing, or, say, unnecessarily increasing its presence. And as for the one or the other reaction Tbilisi, then no action will be taken, in addition, has the possibility to be short rhetorical waves. On the drop with Ukraine can be expected that This topic with South Ossetian agreement can pour a little fuel to the fire of opponents in Russia, But on the actual balance of forces in the area will not be affected, " said loaf.
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